At this point in the season, the picture finally starts to become clear for the tournament. Most teams have played around 22 games, And there is a little over a month until selection Sunday. This means that a team that fails to get an automatic bid has about 10 games left to play before the tournament. This means that we can start eliminating teams that have no realistic shot at an at-large bid. Keep in mind that any team can always pull a few upsets and get that auto bid, so we are not eliminating them from the bracket, just the at-large pool.
As of right now, there are 68 slots for the tournament. 31 of these slots are for automatic qualifiers. This means that we have 37 at-large spots up for grabs. Of course, this does not necessarily mean that all top 37 teams will get an at large bid, as some will probably win their conference tournaments.
1. Tournament locks
Teams with resumes good enough to warrant an entry, even if they lost their final 10 games.
Kentucky, Ohio State, Missouri, Duke, UNC, Baylor, Kansas
This leaves 37-7= 30 spots left.
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